Predictions: Legacy FC 6 – April 9, 2011

You know the drill Houston, you’ve seen us do this a million times. OK, maybe not a million but thousands at least…kind of. ANYWAY, Our prognosticators are back and feeling pretty good about themselves. Back again are Adam Villarreal (Tapout Magazine,ESPN 97.5 FM’s “In the Cage“), Justin Trapp (FighterPortraits.com), Lance Edwards (TheCageDoor.net), Mike Calimbas (TXMMA.com) and Rich Burmaster (1560 AM’s “The Mount“). Unfortuanately, our co-winners from the last contest didn’t return their picks. 🙁

Instead of keeping our experts record like we did last year, this year we’ll be keeping track of their point total.  For every correct pick they get +5, for every correct round picked they get +2 and for every method they pick right they get +3.  If they pick the correct award winner they get +5 for each. If this sound familiar it’s because we are using the same scoring system for our Fans Pick’em Contest.  You can play along and when the fights are over, we’ll compare your score to our experts!  Plus, if you score the highest, you get to be on our NEXT experts panel!

Do you agree with them or do you think they are crazy? Either way, let ’em know!  When you’re done reading all the pics, feel free to leave your comments below and let our experts and Houston know who you think is going to win and why.


PREDICTIONS

John Malbrough vs Jonathon Harris

John Malbrough John Malbrough Name Jonathon Harris Jonathon Harris
The Maniac Nickname The Hulk
6’1″ / 193lbs Ht/Wt 5’10″ / 175lbs
#6 Rank Not Ranked
2-0-0 Record 4-1-0
Kingwood MMA Gym Submission Boxing Academy
Adam, Eric,Justin, Lance,Mike,Rich Picks

Adam: I see this one being a war as long as they don’t touch gloves up front! Just kidding….or am I?

Prediction: Malbrough via split decision

Eric: Battle of Jo(h)n’s. Both guys are real tough and will push the envelope in each round.

Prediction: Malbrough via TKO, Rd. 3

Justin: This fight reminds me of the old tale of The Tortoise and the Hare.  Harris quickly rose to the forefront with explosive knockouts and quickly became a contender.  Malbrough has been quietly improving himself, record and career.  Once again I see the maturation of John Malbrough coming to fruition.  Look for him to weather the early storm and then settle in before getting the submission

Prediction: Malbrough via Submission, Rd. 3

Lance: Harris starts hard, Marlboroughs a grinder, i really dont know what Harris has after an explosive start, so its hard to call. I think Marlborough will grind this out and win by decision.

Prediction: Malbrough via decision

Mike: This is going to be a tougher fight than most imagine, particularly if it stays on the fight. On the ground though, “The Maniac” has the clear advantage and that’s probably where this fight will be won.

Prediction: Malbrough via Submission, Rd. 2

Rich: Harris has been out of action for a few months but I doubt the power has slacked off any. Malbrough has a solid all around game and has shown improvement in each of his fights.Look for John to try for the early takedown and look to keep Harris on his back.

Prediction: Malbrough via TKO, Rd. 2


Alex Morono vs Jeff Rexroad

Alex Morono Alex Morono Name Jeff Rexroad Jeff Rexroad
Nickname
5’11″ / 170lbs Ht/Wt 6’3″ / 170lbs
#10 Rank #7
2-0-0 Record 2-1-0
Gracie Barra – The Woodlands Gym Paradigm Training Center
Justin Picks Adam, Eric, Lance, Mike, Rich

Adam: Rexroad all day!

Prediction: Rexroad via decision

Eric: Alex pulled off a quick armbar submission on Mark Garcia. I don’t think he is going to have quite the same opportunities to pull that off here against Rexroad. Jeff is going to test Morono’s stand up game from start to finish of this match.

Prediction: Rexroad via TKO, Rd. 2

Justin: This fight will tell us a lot about where each of these guys stand within their respective careers.  Really like Alex and Jeff, good guys.  Jeff is huge for a welterweight and he has great ground skills so i dont see Alex catching him in another arm bar finish.  Alex has killer instinct and he finishes guys when they appear hurt. Both guys have solid standup.  My head says Jeff will edge Morono in an exciting bout but my heart says Alex will come with a good gameplan and pull out the UD.

Prediction: Morono via decision

Lance: Jeff Rexroad is one of the most technically skilled fighters in Houston in my opinion. I went against him last time he fought, because I thought he’d lost his edge in the Craig Gardener fight. Don’t get me wrong Craig is probably the best unranked fighter in Houston at present and is definitely no joke for any opponent. Against Talavera, Rexroad looked great with his technically skilled, cardio machined self.

I think this fight is a mistake for Morono, well actually not, but i don’t think he’ll win it. Its no bad thing to lose to Rexroad, who (in my opinion) if he continues to fight we will see great things from. Morono has a habit of bowling his punches. I hope he’s worked on his technique because if he hasn’t what doesn’t miss Rexroad due to his head movement, Im sure we’ll see bouncing off Rexroad’s shoulders and will be as much use as a chocolate teapot. I think Morano has no answer for Rexroad on the ground either.
I like Morano as a fighter, he puts on a good show, but I think “The Executioner” will easily have his way with him.

Prediction: Rexroad via TKO, Rd. 2

Mike: Fight of the night right here! Both these guys can bang everywhere this fight goes and both are talented in just about every aspect of the fight. It’s going to be tough for either fighter to finish and this one could go either way. I’ll have to pick one though so I’m going Jeff Rexroad by virtue of his lengthy jab.

Prediction: Rexroad via decision

Rich: Alex Morono is stepping up his game quickly taking on a tough opponent like Jeff so soon in his career. Alex has very crisp standup and a solid ground game like a younger version of Jeff. Rexroad has been in some great fights lately and is sort of a jack of all trades in the cage.

Prediction: Rexroad via split decision


Tim Snyder vs Alex Black

Tim  Snyder Tim Snyder Name Alex Black Alex Black
Nickname
5’6″ / 140lbs Ht/Wt 6’0″ / 143lbs
#2 Rank #4
11-7-0 Record 1-1-0
Paradigm Training Center Gym Bushi Ban – World Headquarters
Adam,Eric,Lance,Mike Picks Justin, Rich

Adam: When I say I love both of these guys I truly mean it, but my journalistic integrity makes me speak my personal truth. I gotta say Tim Snyder, for whatever reason (dumb reasons at that) is always being looked past. He gets looked past and comes in to prove everyone wrong. His experience and camp makes this guys a scary dude and someone to be reckoned with. Alex Black is an amazing and talented up and comer but I don’t think he’s ready for a guy like Snyder.

Prediction: Snyder via TKO, Rd. 2

Eric: Tim has a lot of pop in those hands of his. Alex needs to neutralize them as best as possible to wear him down and get a submission in.

Prediction: Snyder via KO, Rd. 1

Justin: Black is looking to bounce back from his tko loss and Snyder is looking to build momentum shortly after his KO of Aaron Barringer.  I think this will be the closest fight of the night.  If Alex can use those go-go-gadget arms to establish his jab and control range I think he pulls out a razor close split decision.

Prediction: Black via decision

Lance: I wholeheartedly think Alex Black made a mistake on his last foray, giving up so much weight to a strong guy cost him a dent in his record. Black is hungry and apparently has been training his backside off. Snyder was on a roll before a patch of problems, which appear to have been related to issues in his life. Snyder dealt with Barringer well, and although i truely think Alex Black can go all the way in his career, I think an opponent like Snyder is coming a little too early for him.

Prediction: Snyder via TKO, Rd. 2

Mike: Tough knockouts are hard to recover from and Alex Black is coming off a pretty tough one in his last fight. Snyder is a seasoned opponent and a hard-hitting one at that so I’ve got to think the Paradigm fighter is the favorite in this one.

Prediction: Snyder via KO, Rd. 1

Rich: Tim Snyder throws bombs with every punch and has been around for a long time. Alex is the young up and comer and it will be interesting to see how he rebounds from a tough loss.Alex has more ways to win this fight but if he tries to play around on the feet it could be a short night.

Prediction: Black via Submission, Rd. 2


Andrew Craig vs Bubba Bush

Andrew Craig Andrew Craig Name Bubba Bush William Bush
Smiles Nickname Bubba
6’1″ / 185lbs Ht/Wt 6’0″ / 185lbs
#1 Rank #2
4-0-0 Record 2-0-0
Team Tooke-Houston Gym Brazos Valley MMA
Adam, Eric, Justin,Lance, Rich Picks Mike

Adam: Andrew Craig is on a tear right now and I feel Team Tooke has prepared this guy to continue to keep guys doing morse code on the mat!

Prediction: Craig via submission, Rd. 2

Eric: Andrew Craig is the best middleweight in Houston and will prove to us all how talented he is by winning 2nd middleweight title in 2 months.

Prediction: Craig via submission, Rd. 2

Justin: Two questions for this fight…Can Andrew Craig prevent the takedown and how much has Bubba’s stand up evolved since his last fight.  Everyone knows Bubba is a monster wrestler and I believe he has a bright future in this sport.  However, I truly believe Andrew Craig is on the cusp of going to the next level with the UFC or Strikeforce.  I think the experience and overall game of Craig will be to much for Bubba, however I am not so sure Craig wins if this fight happens in a year or so.

Prediction: Craig via TKO, Rd. 2

Lance: Two tough guys. Craig has the experience advantage, but Bush isnt to be taken lightly. Coming off a submission victory over the gritty Jon Kirk, i just cant go against Craig.

Prediction: Craig via submission, Rd. 3

Mike: Like a lot of fights on this card, this one is a tough fight to call. All logic says that Andrew Craig should win out in this one with his proven record but a lot of people said the same thing when Bubba fought Chris Spicer. Honestly, if this were a three-rounder, I’d pick Bubba Bush in an upset but five rounds is a long time…. Ahh screw it. I’m picking the upset. Bubba Bush by decision!

Prediction: Bush via decision

Rich: Bubba may be the strongest 185lber in the state. His takedowns are fierce and relentless. Craig is the most well rounded 185lber around and is comfortable anywhere in the cage. Look for Andrew to try and keep this fight standing and try to work Bubba in the clinch.With a few more fights under his belt Bubba will be scary good.

Prediction: Craig via TKO, Rd. 3


Daniel Pineda vs Ray Blodget

Daniel Pineda Daniel Pineda Name Ray Blodget Ray Blodgett
The Pit Nickname Sting Ray
5’7″ / 145lbs Ht/Wt 5’9″ / 155lbs
#1 Rank #2
12-7-0 Record 5-0-0
4 oz Fight Club Gym Elite MMA-Houston
Adam, Eric, Justin,Lance, Rich Picks Mike

Adam: Simply put, Daniel Pineda is the future of Houston MMA. Ray Blodgett is a beast and not one to sleep on either. Keep in mind these two guys made all 3 rounds of auditioning for The Ultimate Fighter and for whatever reason they didn’t make the show, they showed why they’re the main event for Legacy. I don’t see Ray getting tapped, but I feel Daniel has everything he needs to take it. Best of luck to both of these soldiers!

Prediction: Pineda via decision

Eric: If there is any match that was going to top Blodgett v. Trujillo, this is it. One of the fighters is still present in this match, however I think that Ray is gonna meet his match tonight.

Prediction: Pineda via decision

Justin: Both guys are coming off impressive victories.  Pineda has made quick work of his last few opponents and Blodgett was victorious in his absolute war with Rey Trujillo.  This is my early pick for fight of the night.  I see this going back and forth until later rounds where I see Pineda using his wrestling to get a TKO.

Prediction: Pineda via TKO, Rd 4

Lance: There’s a book, ‘How to win friends and influence people’, you’ll notice in that book its not recommended that one should write predictions on an MMA site, so I don’t think I’ll be winning any today.

Blodgett is 5-0, which of course is a good record, Pineda has far more fights with a number of losses. I haven’t watched Blodgett’s tape of his fight against Trujillo since seeing the fight live. A lot of people thought it was a great fight, and it went the distance. I didn’t think Trujillo fought as well as he could have, but what the fight did show were holes in Blodgett’s game. He failed to capitalize on many attempts to end the fight by submission, which could have cost him the fight.

I hope Blodgett has worked on his holes or what we are about to witness I’m sure will be against the Geneva Convention. Blodgett’s got a good chin, of that there’s no doubt, I do think he will have raised the bar for this fight, but if he hasnt raised it enough I think we are going to witness Blodgett being bloody and battered and Pineda walking away the clear victor.

Prediction: Pineda via TKO, Rd 2

Mike: Ray Blodget (one T) will be defending his 155 title against Pineda in what will undoubtedly be the toughest match of his career. Pit is a strong and explosive fighter everywhere. The thing about Ray is that he loves tough fights. In fact, he seems to shine best when he’s in wars. I respect Pineda a ton but I’m ridin’ with my teammate in this one and I got him winning by submission in round 2.

Prediction: Blodget via submission, Rd 2

Rich: The Pit is on a roll and there does not seem to be anyway to stop him. Blodgett has shown greatly improved stand up to go along with his stellar ground game. Look for Pineada to press the action and to take the fight to the ground where he will try to control from the top.

Prediction: Pineda via split decision


QUICK PICKS

Mark Garcia

vs

Patrick Greene


PICKS Adam,Eric,Justin,Lance,Mike,Rich

Patrick Hutton

vs

Pat Bierschwale

Adam PICKS Eric,Justin,Lance,Mike,Rich

Artenas Young

vs

Jonathan Mack

Adam,Eric,Justin,Lance,Mike,Rich PICKS

Angel Huerta

vs

Nate Garza

Adam,Eric,Justin,Lance,Mike PICKS Rich

AWARD PICKS

Awards Adam Eric Justin Lance Mike Rich
Sub.
of the Night
Andrew Craig Angel Huerta John Malbrough Patrick Greene Ray Blodgett Pat Bierschwale
KO
of the Night

Tim Snyder Angel Huerta Tim Snyder Tim Snyder Artenas Young
Fight
of the Night
Pineda vs Blodgett Pineda vs Blodgett Pineda vs Blodgett Pineda vs Blodgett Moron vs Rexroad Pineda vs Blodgett

For complete coverage of Legacy FC 6, check out the LEGACY section of TheCageDoor.net.